Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.223223 0.252042 0.282591 0.317327 0.355666 0.396628 0.443639
2025-08-03 0.187231 0.226536 0.270636 0.323571 0.385160 0.454325 0.537633
2025-08-10 0.163120 0.209500 0.264128 0.332755 0.416159 0.513704 0.635845
2025-08-17 0.139560 0.189381 0.250725 0.331017 0.432453 0.555389 0.714584
2025-08-24 0.121546 0.173493 0.240095 0.330550 0.448828 0.596731 0.793936
2025-08-31 0.106787 0.159809 0.230389 0.329550 0.463324 0.635365 0.870796
2025-09-07 0.097167 0.151798 0.227025 0.335957 0.487023 0.686135 0.964829
2025-09-14 0.087129 0.141947 0.219952 0.336232 0.501774 0.725080 1.044313
2025-09-21 0.078616 0.133317 0.213621 0.336641 0.516112 0.763452 1.123971
2025-09-28 0.071320 0.125694 0.207931 0.337210 0.530191 0.801512 1.204158
2025-10-05 0.065976 0.120538 0.205372 0.341941 0.550123 0.848168 1.297703
2025-10-12 0.062166 0.117444 0.205618 0.350697 0.576117 0.904181 1.406275
2025-10-19 0.057139 0.111995 0.201976 0.353576 0.594027 0.950169 1.503786
2025-10-26 0.053368 0.108320 0.200867 0.360282 0.618009 1.005983 1.617768
2025-11-02 0.050548 0.106035 0.201826 0.370270 0.647456 1.071004 1.747696
2025-11-09 0.045959 0.100001 0.195875 0.368320 0.657606 1.106839 1.834763
2025-11-16 0.042077 0.094870 0.191032 0.367784 0.669785 1.145999 1.927977
2025-11-23 0.038506 0.089944 0.186112 0.366675 0.680752 1.183410 2.019477
2025-11-30 0.036389 0.087708 0.185886 0.373689 0.705485 1.243373 2.148005
2025-12-07 0.033591 0.083746 0.182093 0.373986 0.718640 1.284990 2.248627
2025-12-14 0.031067 0.080083 0.178550 0.374432 0.731913 1.327068 2.351096
2025-12-21 0.028788 0.076697 0.175256 0.375055 0.745381 1.369752 2.455664
2025-12-28 0.027179 0.074643 0.174435 0.380237 0.767078 1.426751 2.585193